Saturday, 18 May 2013

A healthy amount of scepticism is a good thing


I think it is important to establish from the outset that I have a tendency to think ahead, to visualise possible scenarios that may follow from a specific event or circumstance. I then weigh up the probability of these possible events playing out in reality. Just because I may suggest things that are possible does not necessarily mean that I believe them to be fact – merely ideas that may or may not prove to be true.

To some people, the scenarios I suggest on occasion may seem convoluted, overly complex or implausible. My response to such people is simple, they greatly underestimate the ability, smarts and conniving of those in positions of power and influence. If I can think of these scenarios so too can the people I write about. And if they can do it, and it is to their advantage, then they will do it.


I enjoyed chess when I was younger. I do not claim do be especially good at it – I never really had the time or the commitment necessary to become particularly skilled at it. However, even from the beginning, it was something that came quite naturally to me. Chess by its very nature requires the player to think several moves ahead. The further ahead you can think, the more likely you are to win. You must be able to spot the false leads and deliberate traps set by your opponent. You must consider all possible moves, and sequences, almost all of which will not actually happen. It is only possible to plan so far ahead as the possibilities multiply exponentially the further you go.

It is my nature to think ahead and consider possible scenarios that may happen, while acknowledging that most will never occur. That is why I tend to analyse information, rules, laws etc. and consider the consequences. The people and organisations who bring in such things, are not fools – on the contrary, most are highly intelligent and extremely cunning. They also have many other capable individuals at their disposal to assist in planning their moves and in manoeuvring themselves and/or their organisation into the most beneficial positions they can.

This applies to Governments, corporations, groups and individuals. Their motives may not always be sinister, but they are typically self-serving. Even idealists with honourable intentions often seek to manipulate the unwary for what they believe to be the ‘greater good’. Regardless of who it is, one common thread always remains – they have an agenda and they will pursue it.

As a result I take very little at face value. I believe little of what I am told. I do not underestimate the cunning and ability of those in positions of power and influence – and neither should you.

No comments:

Post a Comment